North Korea launches missiles, South Korea pushes new submarines, and the situation on the peninsula

Original title: North Korea launches missiles, South Korea pushes new submarines, and the situation on the peninsula has changed?

According to Yonhap, the South Korean military said on the morning of September 28 that North Korea launched an "unknown Launcher" that may be a short-range missile that morning. At present, South Korea is closely monitoring the relevant trends.
The timing of the test is delicate.
On the same day, the South Korean navy and Defense Agency held the launching ceremony of the 3000 ton zhangbaogao - Ⅲ batch - Ⅱ No. 3 boat "shencaihao". This was launched by South Korea in 2007 and cost 3. 09 trillion won, the third and last of the three 3000 ton submarines independently developed. All three submarines can launch submarine launched ballistic missiles.

Data figure: South Korea's "shencaihao" submarine. Figure / IC Photo
Moon Jae in Korea recently raised the issue of the declaration of the Korean War's final war. At the seventy-sixth UN General Assembly, Kim and regularized the Central Committee of the Korean labor party, Kim and regular, said the proposal was "interesting and good idea". On September 25, Kim and Zheng also mentioned the possibility of holding summit talks with the ROK, which the ROK responded that it welcomed.
Expert analysis said that although all parties have released some new signals, the situation on the Korean Peninsula will not change much in the short term and is still relatively stable on the whole. However, it is noteworthy that with the stalemate lasting for a long time, the uncertainty of the situation on the peninsula is gradually accumulating, which is not conducive to the realization of peace and stability on the peninsula in the long run.
North Korea conducted three test launches in September
On September 28, the South Korean Joint Staff Headquarters issued a statement saying that at about 6:40 a.m. that day, North Korea fired an "unknown Launcher" that may be a short-range missile eastward from inland areas. The statement said that the intelligence departments of South Korea and the United States are analyzing more information about the launch.
According to Yonhap reported that the Korean President Wen moon Jae in the same day ordered the National Security Council to analyze the purpose of the North Korean test. North Korean Defense Ministry spokesman Fu shengcan said that it was "regrettable" for the North Korean side to test fire at a time when political stability was crucial to the Korean Peninsula.
On the same day, Japanese media quoted the Japanese Ministry of defense as saying that the "unidentified Launcher" launched by North Korea may be a ballistic missile - and ballistic missile test firing is prohibited according to United Nations sanctions against North Korea.
According to CNN, the U.S. military India Pacific Command later said that it was negotiating with allies and relevant partners on the North Korean test launch. It said in a statement that although they assessed that the test would not pose a direct threat to the United States and its allies, the "missile test highlights the adverse impact of North Korea's' illegal weapons program 'on the stability of the peninsula".
In fact, this is the sixth time since this year and the third time since this month. On September 15, the South Korean joint staff headquarters said that North Korea launched two ballistic missiles that day. According to KCNA, on September 11 and 12, the North Korean Academy of defense Sciences successfully launched a newly developed long-range cruise missile.
In an interview with the Beijing News, Li Leng, a researcher at the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that North Korea has conducted many test launches in recent years, mainly in response to the US ROK military exercise in August and the South Korean submarine launched ballistic missile test.
From August 16 to 20 this year, the United States and South Korea held a military exercise codenamed "joint command post exercise" despite the warning of the DPRK. In addition, South Korea has recently demonstrated and tested emerging sophisticated weapons. On September 15, the South Korean presidential palace announced that South Korean military submarines successfully test fired submarine launched ballistic missiles, and South Korea became the seventh country in the world to have self-developed submarine launched ballistic missiles.
Li Ying pointed out, "according to the line of the Eighth National Congress of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea should increase the research and development of conventional weapons in the military field and adhere to the policy of" strong versus strong and good versus good "to the United States in diplomacy. Under the guidance of the above policy, it is inevitable for the Democratic People's Republic of Korea to respond to the military exercise conducted by the United States and South Korea in August and the research and development of high-precision weapons in South Korea".
According to BBC reports, North Korea's permanent representative to the United Nations, Venus, said in a speech at the United Nations General Assembly on the 27th that North Korea has the right to "develop, test, produce and possess" weapons systems, and North Korea also has the right to self-defense and powerful weapons to resist aggression by other countries, but is unwilling to exercise and use them against any party.
Uncertainties about the situation on the peninsula are accumulating
The situation on the Korean Peninsula has been deadlocked for a long time.
Wen moon Jae in April 2018 and the North Korean leader Kim Jeong-eun met in Panmunjom, which is considered as an important milepost for the Korean Peninsula towards peace. In June of that year, Kim Jong Un and then US President trump held a historic meeting in Singapore. The DPRK promised complete denuclearization, while the US promised to provide security for the DPRK.

Local time, April 27, 2018, Panmunjom, South Korean President Wen Yin and North Korea's supreme leader Kim Jeong-eun met in Panmunjom. IC photo
However, after the second US DPRK summit in February 2019, the situation on the peninsula was deadlocked again because the two sides failed to reach an agreement on relevant issues.
Wen moon Jae in many times called for an end to the war on the Korean Peninsula. In his speech at the general debate of the United Nations General Assembly on September 21, he proposed that the DPRK, the ROK and the United States or China, the DPRK and the ROK and the United States jointly declare the end of the state of war on the Korean Peninsula, which will become "the starting point for establishing a new order of reconciliation and cooperation on the Korean peninsula".
According to KCNA, Kim and Jung spoke on the Declaration on the end of war on the Korean Peninsula on September 24. She said that the Declaration on the end of the war put forward by South Korea was "a very interesting proposal and a good idea". She stressed that if the ROK stops stimulating the DPRK, stops double standards, and acts cautiously and does not engage in hostility in the future, the DPRK is willing to maintain close communication between the north and the south again, and has constructive discussions on the restoration of relations and development prospects.
On September 25, Kim and Zheng delivered a speech on inter Korean relations for the second consecutive day. In a conversation with KCNA, she said that under the condition of mutual respect, it is possible to improve relations such as the Declaration on the end of the war, the reconstruction of the North South Joint Liaison Office and the North South Summit.
For North Korea, South Korea and the United States ?, the future trend of ROK Japan relations may affect the settlement of the Peninsula issue.
Reporter Xie Lian
Editor Zhang Lei