Original title: American media: the United States needs to reflect on how to deal with the rising China. In China's eyes, the United States is a & ldquo; Hypocritical belligerent overlord & rdquo;
[text / observer online bear detached] in recent years, China US relations have been declining, and the US government and some politicians are still making moves detrimental to bilateral relations, but some foreign policy analysts are also thinking.
On September 13 local time, foreign policy analyst Brian middot; In an article published in the national interest, an American political and diplomatic magazine, Brian Clark believes that the current United States needs to reflect on how to deal with China's rise.
He pointed out that the United States used to China & ldquo; Containment plus contact & rdquo; China's strategy has been denied by domestic voices, but even so, the United States should take & ldquo; Reconciliation and restraint & rdquo; Center, not take & ldquo; Confrontation & rdquo; Strategy.
In addition, the author Clark also said from the perspective of China that the United States has never protected the & ldquo; Rule based order & rdquo;, Instead, he became a hypocritical and belligerent overlord, wantonly undermined international law and frequently used force against the outside world. It is precisely because it opposes all kinds of hegemonic acts of the United States that China is prompted to change the status quo and pursue the establishment of a new order.
Screenshot of articles in national interest magazine
At the beginning of the article, the author uses two adjectives to define China's rise to become a world power. One is & ldquo; Unusual & rdquo;, The second is & ldquo; Expected & rdquo;.
What is unusual is that since China began to implement the free-market economic reform in the early 1970s, its economy has grown at a high speed of about 10% a year, and the life expectancy has increased by about 50%. Almost all military sand table calculations predict that if war and conflict break out in Asia, China will be the ultimate winner.
Not surprisingly, the United States not only supports China's rise, but also is a major participant. The United States has provided a stable reserve currency, invested heavily in China's economy and provided China with the largest export market, all of which are crucial to China's rapid transformation.
However, it must be pointed out that this relationship is definitely not unilateral, because the United States also benefits from it. For example, an analytical study believes that trade between China and the United States supports about 2.6 million U.S. jobs.
However, the author points out that although the economies of China and the United States have benefited, China's rapid economic growth has also caused what the outside world calls & ldquo; Thucydides trap & rdquo; (Thucydides trap), i.e. & ldquo; When a rising power threatens to subvert a ruling power, it will cause serious structural pressure & rdquo;. Historically, this tension has been & ldquo; Small events lead to big Wars & rdquo; Laid the foundation, such as Franz & middot, crown prince of Austria Hungary; The assassination of Archduke Ferdinand led to the outbreak of World War I.
The United States has always been aware of this dilemma and has taken & ldquo; Containment plus contact & rdquo; The strategy of "containment" (also known as "encirclement" and "containment plus communication") combines military containment with economic contact. The United States believes that if China is allowed to become a responsible stakeholder in the current world order, it will not seek to overthrow the current order.
“ At that time, it seemed to be a good policy. As other parties have pointed out, it can be said that China has benefited a lot from this order. It has lifted 800 million people out of poverty. At the same time, it has also kept Japan, China's historical opponent, militarily weak and non threatening& rdquo; Author Clark wrote.
Since the reform and opening up, according to the current poverty standards, China's 770 million rural poor people have been lifted out of poverty; Since the 18th CPC National Congress, by the end of 2020, 98.99 million rural poor people have been lifted out of poverty under China's current standards, and 832 poor counties have taken off their hatsAll 88000 poor villages were listed. Figure self surging image
The article says that this strategy has been supported by both parties in the United States for more than 30 years, but now the general consensus is & ldquo; The policy has failed & rdquo;, China is pursuing another order, including the establishment of economic institutions that compete with the Bretton Woods system: & ldquo; One belt, one road ” The initiative, the Asian infrastructure investment bank and the BRICs New Development Bank also include the pursuit of a new security order.
In this regard, the United States responded by blaming China. Its new domestic consensus is to advocate a tougher stance on China's rise, including China's economic decoupling, strengthening the regional deterrence of the United States and supporting its allies.
The author believes that although this idea may be popular in the United States, it is a bad strategy because it misreads & ldquo; Containment plus contact & rdquo; The reason for the failure.
From China's perspective, the United States has never been a country with goodwill to maintain rule-based order, but a belligerent overlord, constantly violating international law and calling it; Values & rdquo; Spread out.
The most common example of this is & ldquo; Conditional loan;, That is, if recipient countries wish to receive assistance, they must agree to political reforms, which often include the so-called & ldquo; Human rights clause & rdquo;. China has long opposed this approach, and the creation of alternative economic institutions is a response to the reluctance of the United States to solve these problems.
In addition, the United States has demonstrated its & ldquo; Hypocrisy & rdquo;, It also makes China want to change the status quo. Since the so-called & ldquo; Free world order & rdquo; If there are norms and systems to prevent conflict, no party can use force to expand its influence in the conflict, but the United States is an exception. It always speaks to itself and uses various & ldquo; Reason & rdquo; Violation of prohibition.
In February 2003, then U.S. Secretary of State Powell held a tube & ldquo; Washing powder & rdquo; Testify at the United Nations and claim that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction. On March 20 that year, the United States bypassed the United Nations Security Council and unilaterally launched the war in Iraq. Picture from American media
Therefore, the author Clark believes that the United States needs to reflect on how to deal with China's rise. Considering that China is not only pursuing a new regional order, but also does not have the role of the United States, the past strategy of the United States has obviously failed. However, the new strategy of the United States should be based on & ldquo; Reconciliation and restraint & rdquo; Center, not & ldquo; Confrontation & rdquo;.
This means ensuring that international institutions reflect the current distribution of world power precisely because the United States has repeatedly demonstrated & ldquo; Overbearing & rdquo;, It makes China seek to establish various alternative organizations.
On the other hand, the United States should also seriously respect the international law prohibiting the use of force. The reason why China develops military power is largely because it does not trust the United States to do & ldquo; Self restraint & rdquo;. The article said that considering that the United States has frequently used force abroad in the past 30 years, it would be foolish for China not to do so.
Finally, the article points out that if the United States wants to lead a world dominated by rules rather than power, it should set an example and abide by the rules it expects others to abide by. Therefore, if the United States uses force, it must be authorized by the United Nations or in self-defense.
On September 14 local time, Chinese State Councilor and foreign minister Wang Yi and Singapore Foreign Minister vivin jointly met with reporters in Singapore. Wang Yi said that China's development has a strong endogenous driving force and is an inevitable trend in history. The historical process of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation is irreversible and will be completed. This is also an important achievement in the overall development and progress of mankind. How to view China's development is an important issue for all countries in the world.
Wang Yi pointed out that there are also some countries and forces in the world that do not adapt to China's development, have all kinds of doubts, and even make serious miscalculations. This is not conducive to promoting cooperation, but also affects the development of normal relations. The United States may be in such a process. The United States should realize that not only the United States has the right to development, but other countries also have the right to development; Not only the American people have the right to a happy life, but also the people of other countries.
Wang Yi stressed that as the world's top two economies, China US cooperation benefits the world. In particular, the United States should abandon the zero sum game thinking. The world is moving forward and will not go back to the Cold War era. We should keep pace with the times, learn to coexist peacefully and win-win cooperation with other civilizations and nations, and jointly build a peaceful, harmonious, stable and prosperous world.
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